Hollywood Thursday

[Matt24]

This is my first attempt at handicapping horses.
I dont really know what I am doing, but this should help me some. Would appreciate if someone could reply if I was even looking at this stuff right.
Most of the stuff I point out probably doesnt even matter, so this post could be completely stupid, but oh well. I'm not wagering any money on this either, unless someone says something I said actually made sense and to for one or two of the picks

Race 1:Queenofluv had a good workout time at 5 furlongs and gets a jockey upgrade I believe??

Race 2:Flightquest drops down and stretches out. Not much speed, but could be coming late.Could benefit from a speed duel between My Sweet Lucy and Aetha. at 20/1 ML, if it stays up there, maybe worth a shot?

Race 3: Didn't get much here

Race 4:Bold Score drops down gets a jockey upgrade and comes off a fast workout. 12/1 Morning Line. Also like Dont Tell Wendy and Hagerstown. It seems I cant recognize why the favorites are favored?

Race 5:Looks like there is some speed in here and some horses that like to be out front. Devilish, Bye Bye Birdie, Pammy N Cami, and Two Four Dancer could be vying for the lead out front. Think Devilish could wire them, couldnt really find a horse to close out of this group.

Race 6:A bunch of first time starters here.

Race 7:Solitaro looks strong. 9/5 ML, probably end up at even money.

Race 8:???

This could have been the dumbest post in the history of the horse forum, but as long as I learn something. Later

 

[jjgold]

Good Luck Matt and you will be fine

 

[Matt24]

Damn forums went down! Hope Mazel is still going to post hollywood and give me some feedback. I plan on watching the races today and see how they play out. No golf for me today.

 

[mazeltrick]

matt,

i'm not playing hollywood today as this is the single most miserable betting card i've seen in a while. good work on your first write-up here. here's my comments:

r1-- queenofluv's 5f workout was on may 15th, before her last race so i wouldn't put any value on it. the rider upgrade is slight, but iwth a horse who has already raced four times in three months, i don't know how much improvement she has. i wouldn't bet her.

r2: anything can happen with these type of cheap horses, but i would be surprised if flight quest stepped up to win. chance, though...

r4: bold score has a chance on the stretch out. segovia will be favored but she is very vulnerable- you're right, this is a great time to try and beat the favorites.

r6: there are a bunch of first timers, but a couple hae very good connections and precocious pedigrees. should be a good race between the 1,2,3 and 6.

r7: i'd never bet a horse like solitario who doesn't like to win. sweepingly has a huge chance to wire this field as end sweep is a useful turf sire.

good luck, matt, and i'm glad to see you're putting forth the effort-- this is a long learning process and you'll get better each day. good luck.

 

[Matt24]

thanks for the feedback

 

[Matt24]

Race 1:#3 Clever June up to 15/1. Feel there is some value. $2W #3. plus i have to bet somethign for my PPs to be free

 

[Matt24]

21/1 everyone else knows something i dont know

 

[Matt24]

Not a bad job on the first race I ever capped I guess. My horses came in 2nd and 3rd behind the 4/5. Maybe in the future, I might hit that exacta or tri, though the exacta was for peanuts.


Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 5 BEACH PIZZA 3.80 2.40 2.10
2nd 4 QUEENOFLUV 4.20 2.80
3rd 3 CLEVER JUNE 4.00
4th 6 SWISS SKIER
$2 Exacta 5-4 16.80
$2 Trifecta 5-4-3 92.20
$2 Quinella 4-5 10.20

 

[Cerveza]

Race 2
I gotta go with the rail horse PASSIONATE CAPER. Abetter ride today gets the moolah.
$10 WP #1

 

[Cerveza]

Race 3
HORNBY should appreciate the extra ground and Shirreffs is 12 of his last 36 stretching out.
$20 W #2

 

[Cerveza]

pick 6 ticket

2/3,9/2,7/1,2,6/4/2,5

 

[Cerveza]

thank goodness I don't have to sweat over the final races on that ticket!

Race 4
Taking DON'T TELL WENDY - can the bug boy from San Diego win two today?